İngiltere 2-1 Slovakya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Euro, 30 Jun 2024

İngiltere
2-1 HT 0-1
Slovakya
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Euro – 2024

İngiltere vs Slovakya Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
25%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.68
Over 2.5
48%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.29
No
51%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.77
2-3 Goals
48%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.22
6+ Goals
7%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.8
1/2
6%
105.0
1/X
10%
19.95
X/1
16%
3.34
X/2
10%
14.4
X/X
10%
4.99
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
10%
13.35
2/X
6%
21.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-16.0pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
25%
Away Win
13%
+12.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
56%
-3.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
44%
+3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
40%
+9.3pp
51%
BTTS No
60%
-9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

İngiltere v Slovakya — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME İngiltere EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovakya EU Bookmakers 16%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.37/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.69
-46% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +150%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
425 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 78%
33.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
16.4 Crosses 16.4
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.4

İngiltere vs Slovakya Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME İngiltere
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Slovakya
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.29 xG 0.68
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
468 Passes 360
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
37 Box Touches 6
17 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
04.09.2017 İngiltere İngiltere 2-1 HT 1-1 Slovakya Slovakya DKE
04.09.2016 Slovakya Slovakya 0-1 HT 0-0 İngiltere İngiltere DKE
28.03.2009 İngiltere İngiltere 4-0 HT 1-0 Slovakya Slovakya HAZ

İngiltere 2-1 Slovakya — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME İngiltere
2-1
AWAY Slovakya
1.52 xG 2.15
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
708 Passes 379
88% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 19
35 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH İngiltere vs Slovakya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

İngiltere nicked a narrow win over Slovakya 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had İngiltere as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, İngiltere had 63% of the ball to Slovakya's 37%, shots finished 16-13, expected goals 1.52 to 2.15 — the balance of chances actually favoured Slovakya.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, İngiltere had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for İngiltere and 0.33 for Slovakya.

What was the final score of İngiltere vs Slovakya?

İngiltere 2-1 Slovakya in the Euro on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for İngiltere vs Slovakya?

Before kick-off our model rated a İngiltere win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split İngiltere 48%, draw 26%, Slovakya 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İngiltere) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (İngiltere) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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