İspanya vs Gürcistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
İspanya v Gürcistan — Team-Based Signals
İspanya vs Gürcistan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Gürcistan
AVŞE
1-7
HT 0-4
İspanya
AVŞE
4-0
HT 3-0
Gürcistan
DKE
1-2
HT 1-0
İspanya
DKE
0-1
HT 0-1
Gürcistan
HAZ
2-0
HT 1-0
Gürcistan
DKE
İspanya 4-1 Gürcistan — Actual Match Statistics
İspanya cruised past Gürcistan 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had İspanya as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, İspanya had 75% of the ball to Gürcistan's 25%, shots finished 35-4, expected goals 3.36 to 0.25.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, İspanya had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for İspanya and 0.67 for Gürcistan.
What was the final score of İspanya vs Gürcistan?
İspanya 4-1 Gürcistan in the Euro on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for İspanya vs Gürcistan?
Before kick-off our model rated a İspanya win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split İspanya 68%, draw 19%, Gürcistan 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (İspanya), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.