Mikkeli 0-1 SalPa Salo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
42%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.7
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
28%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+5.9pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.3pp
42%
Away Win
52%
-9.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.5pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mikkeli EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY SalPa Salo EU Bookmakers 56%
+8% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
1.28/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+13% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
286 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mikkeli
1W-1D-1L
AWAY SalPa Salo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 1
28.04.2024 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 5-0 HT 3-0 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
13.08.2023 Mikkeli Mikkeli 0-0 HT 0-0 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo FİN2
04.06.2023 SalPa Salo SalPa Salo 1-2 HT 0-1 Mikkeli Mikkeli FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mikkeli
0-1
AWAY SalPa Salo
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mikkeli vs SalPa Salo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SalPa Salo nicked a narrow win over Mikkeli 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had SalPa Salo as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Mikkeli had 42% of the ball to SalPa Salo's 58%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mikkeli and 2.00 for SalPa Salo.

What was the final score of Mikkeli vs SalPa Salo?

Mikkeli 0-1 SalPa Salo in the Finland - Ykkönen on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mikkeli vs SalPa Salo?

Before kick-off our model rated an SalPa Salo win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mikkeli 29%, draw 28%, SalPa Salo 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SalPa Salo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (SalPa Salo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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