Incheon United 0-1 Gangwon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 30 Jun 2024

Incheon United
0-1 HT 0-0
Gangwon
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Incheon United vs Gangwon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.81
No
57%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.91
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.0
6+ Goals
9%
18.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 33% vs market 28.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.52
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
7%
13.45
X/1
17%
5.09
X/2
14%
5.73
X/X
14%
4.3
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
13%
4.15
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.4pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.3pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.9pp
57%
BTTS No
49%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Incheon United v Gangwon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangwon EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +17%
0.97/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.30
-12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 77%
16.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.7 Crosses 17.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0

Incheon United vs Gangwon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gangwon
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.62 xG 0.57
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
394 Passes 360
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.04.2024 Gangwon Gangwon 4-1 HT 3-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
24.09.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-1 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
02.07.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 1-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOR
16.04.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 0-2 HT 0-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
08.10.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
02.09.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK

Incheon United 0-1 Gangwon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
0-1
AWAY Gangwon
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 11
306 Passes 475
83% Pass Accuracy 91%
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Gangwon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon edged past Incheon United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Gangwon found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Incheon United had 38% of the ball to Gangwon's 62%, shots finished 9-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Incheon United and 1.00 for Gangwon.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Gangwon?

Incheon United 0-1 Gangwon in the South Kore - K League Classic on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Gangwon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Incheon United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 39%, draw 28%, Gangwon 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Incheon United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Incheon United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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