Pohang Steelers 2-1 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.91
Over 2.5
50%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.51
2-3 Goals
41%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
10%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.51 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.17
1/2
10%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.35
X/1
15%
5.13
X/2
15%
6.47
X/X
11%
4.55
2/1
12%
26.0
2/2
10%
4.42
2/X
6%
12.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.6pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.0pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -13%
1.49/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.40
+0% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
352 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
19.6 Crosses 14.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.48 xG 0.37
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
444 Passes 366
83% Pass Accuracy 79%
24 Box Touches 10
41 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
12.11.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-2 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
30.09.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
08.07.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 0-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
22.04.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-2 HT 0-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
11.10.2022 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
2-1
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
447 Passes 451
87% Pass Accuracy 90%
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers squeezed past Ulsan Hyundai 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 47% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 53%, shots finished 10-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.33 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Pohang Steelers 2-1 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 41%, draw 24%, Ulsan Hyundai 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ BTTS Yes
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