AGF Aarhus 3-0 AC Horsens — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.64
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.38
Over 2.5
54%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.98
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
27%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
57%
-14.0pp
26%
Draw
22%
+3.8pp
32%
Away Win
21%
+10.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.9pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY AC Horsens EU Bookmakers 25%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.03/2.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.96/3.57
+12% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -52%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AGF Aarhus
5W-0D-1L
AWAY AC Horsens
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.79 xG 1.11
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 Passes 266
72% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2023 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 2-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
26.08.2022 AC Horsens AC Horsens 2-1 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
16.12.2020 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 1-0 HT 0-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAK
13.12.2020 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-2 HT 0-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
18.10.2020 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 3-0 HT 1-0 AC Horsens AC Horsens DAN
24.02.2020 AC Horsens AC Horsens 1-2 HT 1-1 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AGF Aarhus
3-0
AWAY AC Horsens
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 5
13 Shots on Target 2
16 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AGF Aarhus vs AC Horsens
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AGF Aarhus swept aside AC Horsens 3-0. It was 0-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AGF Aarhus as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AGF Aarhus had 63% of the ball to AC Horsens's 37%, shots finished 20-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AGF Aarhus had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for AGF Aarhus and 0.67 for AC Horsens.

What was the final score of AGF Aarhus vs AC Horsens?

AGF Aarhus 3-0 AC Horsens in the Friendlies on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AGF Aarhus vs AC Horsens?

Before kick-off our model rated a AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AGF Aarhus 43%, draw 26%, AC Horsens 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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