Universitatea Craiova 1-2 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.17
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.56
No
41%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
28%
+7.6pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.8pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-5.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-2.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+2.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.4pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Universitatea Craiova EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 52%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
3.20/2.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.38
+134% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
355 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Universitatea Craiova
1-2
AWAY St. Gallen
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Universitatea Craiova vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen squeezed past Universitatea Craiova 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had St. Gallen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Universitatea Craiova had 43% of the ball to St. Gallen's 57%, shots finished 11-17.

What was the final score of Universitatea Craiova vs St. Gallen?

Universitatea Craiova 1-2 St. Gallen in the Friendlies on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Universitatea Craiova vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Gallen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Universitatea Craiova 36%, draw 22%, St. Gallen 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Gallen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Gallen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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