Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 4-2 Ismaily — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.08
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.03
No
57%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.37
2-3 Goals
46%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.08
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
29%
-5.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.9pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
45%
-2.7pp
57%
BTTS No
55%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ismaily EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +2%
0.85/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.02
+12% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +25%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
12.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
15.8 Crosses 20.1
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Ismaily
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.85 xG 0.32
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 6
212 Passes 387
66% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 20
10 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 0
02.03.2024 Ismaily Ismaily 0-1 HT 0-0 Baladiyyat Al Mehalla Baladiyyat Al Mehalla MSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
4-2
AWAY Ismaily
1.73 xG 1.84
36% Ball Possession 64%
15 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
177 Passes 407
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
19 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Ismaily
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla got the better of Ismaily 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ismaily at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla had 36% of the ball to Ismaily's 64%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.73 to 1.84.

What was the final score of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Ismaily?

Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 4-2 Ismaily in the Egypt - Premier League on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Ismaily?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ismaily win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 24%, draw 32%, Ismaily 43%. The final score 4-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ismaily) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
30 Jul 2024
17:30 El Daklyeh vs El Geish Analysis →
21:00 Pharco vs Pyramids Analysis →