2 de Mayo 1-1 Cerro Porteno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 30 Jul 2024

📅30/07/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
49%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.5pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-5.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.0pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME 2 de Mayo EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Porteno EU Bookmakers 58%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.23/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.79
+35% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +9%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME 2 de Mayo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Cerro Porteno
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo 0-2 HT 0-1 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno PAR
30.01.2024 Cerro Porteno Cerro Porteno 0-3 HT 0-0 2 de Mayo 2 de Mayo PAR
POST-MATCH 2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

2 de Mayo and Cerro Porteno shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cerro Porteno at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for 2 de Mayo and 1.00 for Cerro Porteno.

What was the final score of 2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno?

2 de Mayo 1-1 Cerro Porteno in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 30/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for 2 de Mayo vs Cerro Porteno?

Before kick-off our model rated an Cerro Porteno win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split 2 de Mayo 23%, draw 28%, Cerro Porteno 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cerro Porteno), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro Porteno) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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