ABB 1-2 Independiente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.21
Over 2.5
50%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.55
No
48%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
41%
+8.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
59%
-8.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.7pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ABB EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.27/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.81
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +32% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.2
16.4 Crosses 19.2
6.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ABB
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
15.06.2025 ABB ABB 0-0 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ABB
1-2
AWAY Independiente Petrolero
1.77 xG 0.47
50% Ball Possession 50%
20 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 1
295 Passes 304
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH ABB vs Independiente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero edged past ABB 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was ABB at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, ABB had 50% of the ball to Independiente Petrolero's 50%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.77 to 0.47 — the balance of chances actually favoured ABB.

What was the final score of ABB vs Independiente Petrolero?

ABB 1-2 Independiente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ABB vs Independiente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a ABB win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split ABB 51%, draw 25%, Independiente Petrolero 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (ABB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (ABB) ✓ BTTS Yes
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