Nacional Potosi 4-1 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
21%
4.95
Away
23%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-16.4pp
21%
Draw
17%
+4.5pp
23%
Away Win
11%
+11.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.0pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 14%
-3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
2.01/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.81
+14% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -17%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
312 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 75%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
24.3 Crosses 13.9
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.93 xG 1.04
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
333 Passes 191
81% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 4-1 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
26.08.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-2 HT 2-2 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
11.07.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
05.02.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
21.05.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 4-2 HT 2-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
10.04.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 4-2 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
4-1
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
1.07 xG 0.70
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
216 Passes 315
81% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi ran out comfortable winners over Oriente Petrolero 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 42% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 58%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.07 to 0.70.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Nacional Potosi and 2.17 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero?

Nacional Potosi 4-1 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 56%, draw 21%, Oriente Petrolero 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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