Nacional Potosi 4-1 Oriente Petrolero — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.29
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
19%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
73%
-14.3pp
22%
Draw
16%
+5.6pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+8.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.0pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Oriente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 14%
+4% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +12%
1.92/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.50
+27% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -7%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
328 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 75%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
24.3 Crosses 13.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.67 xG 1.18
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
316 Passes 191
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2024 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 2-2 HT 2-2 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
11.07.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 1-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
05.02.2023 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 3-0 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
21.05.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 4-2 HT 2-1 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
10.04.2022 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero 4-2 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
10.12.2021 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-0 HT 0-0 Oriente Petrolero Oriente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
4-1
AWAY Oriente Petrolero
3.21 xG 0.38
64% Ball Possession 36%
30 Total Shots 8
15 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 4
415 Passes 190
89% Pass Accuracy 72%
45 Box Touches 9
25 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi swept aside Oriente Petrolero 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 64% of the ball to Oriente Petrolero's 36%, shots finished 30-8, expected goals 3.21 to 0.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Nacional Potosi and 2.00 for Oriente Petrolero.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero?

Nacional Potosi 4-1 Oriente Petrolero in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 59%, draw 22%, Oriente Petrolero 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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