Real Tomayapo 2-1 Aurora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+8.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
41%
-9.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Tomayapo EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Aurora EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.02/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.10
+6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +9%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
22.0 Crosses 17.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Tomayapo
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Aurora
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.95 xG 1.05
46% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
221 Passes 276
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2024 Aurora Aurora 0-0 HT 0-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
24.08.2023 Aurora Aurora 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
11.04.2023 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo 2-1 HT 1-0 Aurora Aurora BOLİ
18.10.2021 Aurora Aurora 1-2 HT 0-1 Real Tomayapo Real Tomayapo BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Tomayapo
2-1
AWAY Aurora
2.12 xG 2.01
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
367 Passes 296
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Real Tomayapo vs Aurora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Tomayapo edged past Aurora 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Tomayapo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Real Tomayapo had 54% of the ball to Aurora's 46%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.12 to 2.01.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Real Tomayapo had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Real Tomayapo and 0.75 for Aurora.

What was the final score of Real Tomayapo vs Aurora?

Real Tomayapo 2-1 Aurora in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Tomayapo vs Aurora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Tomayapo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Real Tomayapo 41%, draw 27%, Aurora 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Tomayapo), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Tomayapo) ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BOLİ More Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme
14 Dec 2024
02:00 Bolivar vs Universitario de Vinto Analysis →
03:30 Nacional Potosi vs Oriente Petrolero Analysis →
22:00 Royal Pari vs The Strongest Analysis →
22:00 Always Ready vs Santa Cruz Analysis →