Bolivar 5-1 Universitario de Vinto — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 14 Dec 2024

📅14/12/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.18
Draw
21%
7.13
Away
20%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
80%
-21.0pp
21%
Draw
11%
+9.7pp
20%
Away Win
8%
+11.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bolivar EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Universitario de Vinto EU Bookmakers 11%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +10%
1.97/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.56
+22% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
346 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 72%
29.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
21.0 Crosses 11.3
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bolivar
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.53 xG 0.88
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
342 Passes 190
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.08.2024 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 0-1 HT 0-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
10.12.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 2-2 HT 1-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLPLK
28.11.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 1-1 HT 0-0 Bolivar Bolivar BOLPLK
05.11.2023 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto 2-2 HT 1-1 Bolivar Bolivar BOLİ
09.05.2023 Bolivar Bolivar 1-1 HT 0-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
11.09.2022 Bolivar Bolivar 2-0 HT 2-0 Universitario de Vinto Universitario de Vinto BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bolivar
5-1
AWAY Universitario de Vinto
3.28 xG 0.89
67% Ball Possession 33%
25 Total Shots 13
12 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 5
434 Passes 187
90% Pass Accuracy 80%
38 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Bolivar vs Universitario de Vinto
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bolivar cruised past Universitario de Vinto 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bolivar as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bolivar had 67% of the ball to Universitario de Vinto's 33%, shots finished 25-13, expected goals 3.28 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bolivar had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Bolivar and 1.00 for Universitario de Vinto.

What was the final score of Bolivar vs Universitario de Vinto?

Bolivar 5-1 Universitario de Vinto in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 14/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bolivar vs Universitario de Vinto?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bolivar win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Bolivar 59%, draw 21%, Universitario de Vinto 20%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bolivar), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bolivar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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