Atletico Nacional 1-0 Cucuta Deportivo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 30 Jul 2025

Atletico Nacional
1-0 HT 1-0
Cucuta Deportivo
📅30/07/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Colombia - Cup – 2025

Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta Deportivo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Atletico Nacional v Cucuta Deportivo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Cucuta Deportivo EU Bookmakers 20%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
2.38/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.05
+77% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +35%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
397 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta Deportivo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Nacional
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cucuta Deportivo
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.35 xG 1.57
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
391 Passes 251
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
32 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.11.2019 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo 0-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
10.11.2019 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-1 HT 1-1 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo KOL
15.09.2019 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-3 HT 2-1 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo KOL
24.03.2019 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo 1-3 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
22.11.2015 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo 1-2 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
17.05.2015 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-2 HT 1-1 Cucuta Deportivo Cucuta Deportivo KOL
POST-MATCH Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta Deportivo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Nacional nicked a narrow win over Cucuta Deportivo 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Nacional as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Atletico Nacional and 1.33 for Cucuta Deportivo.

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta Deportivo?

Atletico Nacional 1-0 Cucuta Deportivo in the Colombia - Cup on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta Deportivo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Nacional win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Atletico Nacional 50%, draw 28%, Cucuta Deportivo 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Nacional), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Nacional) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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