Deportes Tolima 1-2 Real Soacha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Cup, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
60%
-4.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+6.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
+0.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
-0.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.9pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportes Tolima EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Soacha EU Bookmakers 19%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-11% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 2
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Deportes Tolima vs Real Soacha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Soacha squeezed past Deportes Tolima 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Deportes Tolima at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Deportes Tolima vs Real Soacha?

Deportes Tolima 1-2 Real Soacha in the Colombia - Cup on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportes Tolima vs Real Soacha?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportes Tolima win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Deportes Tolima 55%, draw 22%, Real Soacha 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportes Tolima) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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