Mjondalen 2-0 Asane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.48
2-3 Goals
34%
1.77
4-5 Goals
27%
3.14
6+ Goals
9%
10.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.48 — our 30% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
20%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
29%
-3.4pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-6.6pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Asane EU Bookmakers 48%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.46/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.41
+0% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Asane
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
21.09.2024 Asane Asane 5-0 HT 2-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
16.05.2024 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-1 HT 2-1 Asane Asane NOR1
09.08.2023 Asane Asane 3-2 HT 1-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
10.04.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-0 HT 0-0 Asane Asane NOR1
22.08.2022 Asane Asane 3-1 HT 1-1 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
11.07.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-1 HT 1-0 Asane Asane NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjondalen
2-0
AWAY Asane
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Asane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen beat Asane 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Asane at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Mjondalen had 45% of the ball to Asane's 55%, shots finished 6-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asane led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mjondalen and 2.17 for Asane.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Asane?

Mjondalen 2-0 Asane in the Norway - 1st Division on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Asane?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asane win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 26%, draw 29%, Asane 45%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asane) ✗ BTTS Yes
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