Moss 3-1 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 30 Jul 2025

Moss
3-1 HT 2-0
Sogndal
📅30/07/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.18
Over 2.5
58%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.05
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
27%
2.85
6+ Goals
13%
8.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.8pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
58%
Over 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.6pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Moss EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 42%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.63/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.48
+12% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Moss
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Sogndal
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 4
19.08.2024 Moss Moss 3-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
20.04.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 1-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
07.10.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 2-1 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
07.06.2023 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOK
23.04.2023 Moss Moss 1-2 HT 0-1 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
29.08.2010 Sogndal Sogndal 2-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
POST-MATCH Moss vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moss got the better of Sogndal 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 24% / 36% — and on the day Moss made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Moss and 1.50 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Moss vs Sogndal?

Moss 3-1 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Moss vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Moss win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Moss 41%, draw 24%, Sogndal 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moss), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moss) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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