Sporting Cristal 5-0 Sport Huancayo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 30 Jul 2025

📅30/07/2025 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.15
Over
53%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
40%
4-5
23%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Sporting Cristal win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
60%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+3.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
43%
+4.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
57%
-4.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Cristal The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Huancayo The Market 21%
+1% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.96/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.47
+21% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.7
24.2 Crosses 15.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Cristal
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Sport Huancayo
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.50 xG 1.11
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
302 Passes 334
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.02.2025 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 0-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
14.09.2024 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-2 HT 1-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
07.04.2024 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
03.10.2023 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 2-0 HT 1-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
29.05.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 1-2 HT 0-0 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal PER
09.07.2022 Sporting Cristal Sporting Cristal 4-3 HT 3-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Cristal
5-0
AWAY Sport Huancayo
2.51 xG 0.37
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
418 Passes 175
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Cristal vs Sport Huancayo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Cristal swept aside Sport Huancayo 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Cristal as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Sporting Cristal had 66% of the ball to Sport Huancayo's 34%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 2.51 to 0.37.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Sporting Cristal and 0.83 for Sport Huancayo.

What was the final score of Sporting Cristal vs Sport Huancayo?

Sporting Cristal 5-0 Sport Huancayo in the Peru - Premier League on 30/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Cristal vs Sport Huancayo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Cristal win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sporting Cristal 56%, draw 23%, Sport Huancayo 21%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Cristal), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Cristal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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