Hibernian 4-1 Malisheva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.3
Draw
19%
4.95
Away
13%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.51
Over 2.5
65%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.81
No
37%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
4.84
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
31%
2.58
6+ Goals
15%
6.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
31%
X/2
4%
X/X
6%
2/1
11%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
72%
-4.7pp
19%
Draw
17%
+2.2pp
13%
Away Win
11%
+2.5pp
35%
Under 2.5
36%
-1.4pp
65%
Over 2.5
64%
+1.4pp
62%
BTTS Yes
51%
+11.2pp
38%
BTTS No
49%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Malisheva EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -19%
5.01/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.93
+116% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -63%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
386 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Malisheva
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
23.07.2026 Malisheva Malisheva 2-0 HT 1-0 Hibernian Hibernian AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
4-1
AWAY Malisheva
25 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs Malisheva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernian swept aside Malisheva 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hibernian as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, shots finished 25-6.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs Malisheva?

Hibernian 4-1 Malisheva in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs Malisheva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 68%, draw 19%, Malisheva 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hibernian), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hibernian) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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