Panathinaikos 2-2 Paksi SE — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.28
Draw
18%
5.15
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.51
Over 2.5
58%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.65
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
29%
2.63
6+ Goals
11%
6.81
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
22%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
73%
-3.4pp
18%
Draw
16%
+1.7pp
12%
Away Win
10%
+1.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
36%
+5.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
64%
-5.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.3pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Paksi SE EU Bookmakers 14%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
2.01/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.29
+1% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% / +122%
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
510 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 230 · 72%
38.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
23.5 Crosses 11.0
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panathinaikos
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Paksi SE
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.97 xG 0.90
18 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
435 Passes 248
41 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 0
23.07.2026 Paksi SE Paksi SE 1-2 HT 0-1 Panathinaikos Panathinaikos AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-2
AWAY Paksi SE
1.59 xG 0.38
20 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
519 Passes 156
38 Box Touches 10
25 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Paksi SE
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos and Paksi SE shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Panathinaikos at 70% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.59 to 0.38.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Paksi SE?

Panathinaikos 2-2 Paksi SE in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Paksi SE?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 70%, draw 18%, Paksi SE 12%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Panathinaikos) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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