Sutjeska Foca 1-2 ML Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 30 Jul 2026

📅30/07/2026 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
28%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.74
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
2.95
6+ Goals
7%
9.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.74 — our 30% vs market 20.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+6.8pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.5pp
28%
Away Win
36%
-7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sutjeska Foca EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY ML Rogachev EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
304 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sutjeska Foca
0W-0D-1L
AWAY ML Rogachev
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
15 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.07.2026 ML Rogachev ML Rogachev 3-0 HT 2-0 Sutjeska Foca Sutjeska Foca AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sutjeska Foca
1-2
AWAY ML Rogachev
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sutjeska Foca vs ML Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ML Rogachev edged past Sutjeska Foca 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sutjeska Foca at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Sutjeska Foca vs ML Rogachev?

Sutjeska Foca 1-2 ML Rogachev in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 30/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sutjeska Foca vs ML Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sutjeska Foca win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sutjeska Foca 43%, draw 29%, ML Rogachev 28%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sutjeska Foca), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sutjeska Foca) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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