Granada 1-3 Huesca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.75
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.62
Over 2.5
34%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.06
No
60%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.55
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.64
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 37% vs market 33.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.44
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.1
X/1
14%
3.9
X/2
8%
8.66
X/X
15%
4.12
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
12%
7.43
2/X
8%
16.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Granada win — 43%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
53%
-10.1pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.6pp
26%
Away Win
20%
+5.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
58%
+8.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
42%
-8.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Granada EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Huesca EU Bookmakers 23%
+12% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +17%
1.53/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.24
+17% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
330 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.5
22.5 Crosses 14.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Granada
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Huesca
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.89 xG 1.47
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
259 Passes 234
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
16 Box Touches 18
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.02.2023 Huesca Huesca 1-1 HT 1-1 Granada Granada İS2
02.10.2022 Granada Granada 0-0 HT 0-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
21.02.2021 Huesca Huesca 3-2 HT 3-1 Granada Granada İS1
06.12.2020 Granada Granada 3-3 HT 1-1 Huesca Huesca İS1
28.04.2018 Huesca Huesca 2-1 HT 2-1 Granada Granada İS2
26.11.2017 Granada Granada 2-0 HT 2-0 Huesca Huesca İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Granada
1-3
AWAY Huesca
0.85 xG 2.11
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
489 Passes 218
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
23 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Granada vs Huesca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huesca got the better of Granada 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Granada at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Granada had 65% of the ball to Huesca's 35%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 0.85 to 2.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huesca led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Granada and 1.50 for Huesca.

What was the final score of Granada vs Huesca?

Granada 1-3 Huesca in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Granada vs Huesca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Granada win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Granada 43%, draw 31%, Huesca 26%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Granada) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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