Real Oviedo 1-3 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 30 Aug 2024

Real Oviedo
1-3 HT 1-2
Racing Santander
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Real Oviedo vs Racing Santander Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.75
Over 2.5
38%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.81
No
55%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.97
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
3.94
6+ Goals
7%
17.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 32% vs market 27.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
2.96
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
10%
13.2
X/1
20%
4.62
X/2
9%
6.84
X/X
15%
4.28
2/1
6%
27.5
2/2
11%
5.15
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Real Oviedo win — 40%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.7pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.5pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.2pp
62%
Under 2.5
53%
+9.1pp
38%
Over 2.5
47%
-9.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.9pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Oviedo v Racing Santander — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 31%
+2% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.26/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.20
+4% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -8%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
287 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 74%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.1
23.6 Crosses 14.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Real Oviedo vs Racing Santander Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.91 xG 1.30
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
264 Passes 328
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
16.03.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-1 HT 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
10.12.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-2 HT 1-2 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
18.07.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander HAZ
21.05.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
28.08.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
17.07.2020 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2

Real Oviedo 1-3 Racing Santander — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-3
AWAY Racing Santander
1.03 xG 0.83
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
452 Passes 226
85% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Santander got the better of Real Oviedo 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 32% / 28%) promised a tight game; Racing Santander found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 63% of the ball to Racing Santander's 37%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.03 to 0.83.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Oviedo and 0.67 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Racing Santander?

Real Oviedo 1-3 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 40%, draw 32%, Racing Santander 28%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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