Real Oviedo 1-1 Racing Santander — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

Real Oviedo
1-1 HT 0-1
Racing Santander
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Real Oviedo vs Racing Santander Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.87
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.87 — our 31% vs market 29.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.35
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
22%
4.01
X/2
7%
9.05
X/X
14%
4.37
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
11%
7.38
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
-3.3pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.7pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Oviedo v Racing Santander — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Santander EU Bookmakers 24%
-4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.73/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.33
+3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
321 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.5
25.9 Crosses 14.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8

Real Oviedo vs Racing Santander Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Racing Santander
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.91 xG 1.09
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
221 Passes 369
71% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.12.2023 Racing Santander Racing Santander 2-2 HT 1-2 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
18.07.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-1 Racing Santander Racing Santander HAZ
21.05.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
28.08.2022 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
17.07.2020 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 1-0 HT 1-0 Racing Santander Racing Santander İS2
21.12.2019 Racing Santander Racing Santander 1-1 HT 1-1 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2

Real Oviedo 1-1 Racing Santander — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
1-1
AWAY Racing Santander
0.59 xG 1.89
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 6
382 Passes 214
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
27 Box Touches 26
38 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Racing Santander
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo and Racing Santander couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Real Oviedo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 62% of the ball to Racing Santander's 38%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.59 to 1.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Oviedo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Real Oviedo and 0.67 for Racing Santander.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Racing Santander?

Real Oviedo 1-1 Racing Santander in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Racing Santander?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 49%, draw 27%, Racing Santander 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Real Oviedo), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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