Sporting Gijon vs Alcorcon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sporting Gijon v Alcorcon — Team-Based Signals
Sporting Gijon vs Alcorcon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
1-1
HT 1-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
2-1
HT 1-0
Alcorcon
İSPK
1-0
HT 0-0
Alcorcon
İS2
0-0
HT 0-0
Alcorcon
İS2
1-2
HT 0-0
Sporting Gijon
İS2
Sporting Gijon 1-0 Alcorcon — Actual Match Statistics
Sporting Gijon edged past Alcorcon 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Sporting Gijon as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.
On the day, Sporting Gijon had 61% of the ball to Alcorcon's 39%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 1.54 to 0.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sporting Gijon's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Gijon had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting Gijon and 0.50 for Alcorcon.
What was the final score of Sporting Gijon vs Alcorcon?
Sporting Gijon 1-0 Alcorcon in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sporting Gijon vs Alcorcon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Sporting Gijon win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sporting Gijon 47%, draw 26%, Alcorcon 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Gijon), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.