Burgos 1-1 Levante — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 16 Mar 2024

Burgos
1-1 HT 1-0
Levante
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Burgos vs Levante Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.6
Over 2.5
42%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.67
6+ Goals
10%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.03
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
14%
4.5
X/2
11%
6.84
X/X
16%
3.86
2/1
8%
30.0
2/2
10%
5.48
2/X
6%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.6pp
26%
Away Win
27%
-0.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Burgos v Levante — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Levante EU Bookmakers 30%
+21% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +4%
1.29/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.09
+20% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +63%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
18.2 Crosses 13.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Burgos vs Levante Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Levante
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 1.36
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
287 Passes 317
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 25
19 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.08.2023 Levante Levante 3-2 HT 2-1 Burgos Burgos İS2
29.01.2023 Levante Levante 1-0 HT 1-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
25.09.2022 Burgos Burgos 0-0 HT 0-0 Levante Levante İS2
17.03.2002 Levante Levante 0-0 HT 0-0 Burgos Burgos İS2
28.10.2001 Burgos Burgos 0-1 HT 0-1 Levante Levante İS2

Burgos 1-1 Levante — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos
1-1
AWAY Levante
1.59 xG 1.15
43% Ball Possession 57%
18 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 8
240 Passes 331
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Burgos vs Levante
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burgos and Levante shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Burgos at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Burgos had 43% of the ball to Levante's 57%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.59 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Levante led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Burgos and 1.00 for Levante.

What was the final score of Burgos vs Levante?

Burgos 1-1 Levante in the Spain - 2nd Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos vs Levante?

Before kick-off our model rated a Burgos win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Burgos 45%, draw 29%, Levante 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Burgos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Burgos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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