Venezia 0-1 Torino — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
2.79
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.19
6+ Goals
8%
20.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 31% vs market 29.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
4.93
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
13%
6.46
X/2
18%
4.66
X/X
14%
4.15
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
3.12
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-5.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.3pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Venezia EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Torino EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.91/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/1.06
+16% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 81%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
23.7 Crosses 19.3
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Venezia
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Torino
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.90 xG 0.98
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
198 Passes 376
64% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.02.2022 Torino Torino 1-2 HT 1-1 Venezia Venezia İTA
27.09.2021 Venezia Venezia 1-1 HT 0-0 Torino Torino İTA
20.04.2005 Venezia Venezia 0-3 HT 0-1 Torino Torino İTB
14.11.2004 Torino Torino 1-1 HT 1-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
03.04.2004 Torino Torino 0-0 HT 0-0 Venezia Venezia İTB
09.11.2003 Venezia Venezia 2-1 HT 2-0 Torino Torino İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Venezia
0-1
AWAY Torino
0.84 xG 1.04
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
290 Passes 432
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Venezia vs Torino
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Torino nicked a narrow win over Venezia 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Torino as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Venezia had 42% of the ball to Torino's 58%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.84 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Venezia had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Venezia and 1.17 for Torino.

What was the final score of Venezia vs Torino?

Venezia 0-1 Torino in the Italy - Serie A on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Venezia vs Torino?

Before kick-off our model rated an Torino win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Venezia 25%, draw 29%, Torino 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torino), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Torino) ✓ Under 2.5
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