Inter 4-0 Atalanta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.15
Over 2.5
52%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.17
2-3 Goals
37%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.04
6+ Goals
12%
9.48
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.17 — our 26% vs market 19.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.91
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.4
X/1
14%
3.78
X/2
10%
11.4
X/X
10%
6.11
2/1
10%
21.3
2/2
8%
8.58
2/X
7%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+7.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.9pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Inter EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
2.10/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/2.06
+18% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -20%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 78%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
22.8 Crosses 14.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Inter
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Atalanta
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.82 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
447 Passes 363
85% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2024 Inter Inter 4-0 HT 2-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
04.11.2023 Atalanta Atalanta 1-2 HT 0-1 Inter Inter İTA
27.05.2023 Inter Inter 3-2 HT 2-1 Atalanta Atalanta İTA
31.01.2023 Inter Inter 1-0 HT 0-0 Atalanta Atalanta İTK
13.11.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 2-3 HT 1-1 Inter Inter İTA
16.01.2022 Atalanta Atalanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Inter Inter İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Inter
4-0
AWAY Atalanta
1.31 xG 1.36
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
461 Passes 369
90% Pass Accuracy 89%
25 Box Touches 19
11 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Inter vs Atalanta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Inter cruised past Atalanta 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Inter as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Inter had 55% of the ball to Atalanta's 45%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.31 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Inter and 0.83 for Atalanta.

What was the final score of Inter vs Atalanta?

Inter 4-0 Atalanta in the Italy - Serie A on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Inter vs Atalanta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Inter win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Inter 52%, draw 23%, Atalanta 25%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Inter), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Inter) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTA More Italy - Serie A
30 Aug 2024
19:30 Venezia vs Torino Analysis →