Keflavik 3-2 İB Vestmannaeyjar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
43%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.39
No
46%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
33%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+6.3pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.3pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keflavik EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar EU Bookmakers 48%
+44% / +44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +13%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/0.55
+79% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
352 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keflavik
0W-3D-3L
AWAY İB Vestmannaeyjar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.78 xG 2.29
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
206 Passes 263
63% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 5-0 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL1
07.10.2023 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-1 HT 0-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
16.07.2023 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 1-1 HT 1-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
29.04.2023 Keflavik Keflavik 1-3 HT 0-0 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar İZL
10.10.2022 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-1 HT 2-0 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
30.07.2022 İB Vestmannaeyjar İB Vestmannaeyjar 2-2 HT 1-1 Keflavik Keflavik İZL
POST-MATCH Keflavik vs İB Vestmannaeyjar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keflavik edged past İB Vestmannaeyjar 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was İB Vestmannaeyjar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, İB Vestmannaeyjar led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Keflavik and 2.33 for İB Vestmannaeyjar.

What was the final score of Keflavik vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Keflavik 3-2 İB Vestmannaeyjar in the Iceland - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keflavik vs İB Vestmannaeyjar?

Before kick-off our model rated an İB Vestmannaeyjar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Keflavik 34%, draw 23%, İB Vestmannaeyjar 43%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İB Vestmannaeyjar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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