Afturelding 4-1 Njardvik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.43
No
54%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
51%
-8.8pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.7pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+9.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+13.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-13.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
66%
-19.6pp
54%
BTTS No
34%
+19.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Njardvik EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.34/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.79/1.98
-34% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +48% / -5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
363 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Njardvik
3.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
44% Ball Possession 56%
3 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
30.06.2024 Njardvik Njardvik 2-5 HT 1-2 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
20.08.2023 Njardvik Njardvik 1-2 HT 1-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
16.06.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 7-2 HT 4-2 Njardvik Njardvik İZL1
03.03.2023 Njardvik Njardvik 4-1 HT 1-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Njardvik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding cruised past Njardvik 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Afturelding as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Afturelding had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 3.75 goals for Afturelding and 2.25 for Njardvik.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Njardvik?

Afturelding 4-1 Njardvik in the Iceland - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Njardvik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Afturelding win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 43%, draw 22%, Njardvik 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Afturelding), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Afturelding) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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