Jahn Regensburg 0-4 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 30 Aug 2024

Jahn Regensburg
0-4 HT 0-1
Greuther Fürth
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Jahn Regensburg vs Greuther Fürth Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
21%
3.23
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.06
1/2
6%
25.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
12.6
X/1
12%
6.17
X/2
10%
5.31
X/X
13%
4.8
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
21%
3.29
2/X
6%
12.5
Value flag · 1/X at 12.6 — our 10% vs market 5.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+6.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-6.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Jahn Regensburg v Greuther Fürth — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jahn Regensburg EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -26%
1.33/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.55
-16% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
282 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 74%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
19.5 Crosses 20.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2

Jahn Regensburg vs Greuther Fürth Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jahn Regensburg
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.85 xG 1.62
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
260 Passes 282
71% Pass Accuracy 72%
18 Box Touches 24
17 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.04.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-1 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
07.10.2022 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 2-2 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
17.03.2021 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 1-2 HT 0-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
22.11.2020 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 3-1 HT 1-1 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2
31.01.2020 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg 0-2 HT 0-2 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
18.08.2019 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-0 HT 0-0 Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg AL2

Jahn Regensburg 0-4 Greuther Fürth — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jahn Regensburg
0-4
AWAY Greuther Fürth
2.10 xG 2.38
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 20
6 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 4
345 Passes 275
80% Pass Accuracy 76%
32 Box Touches 34
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jahn Regensburg vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greuther Fürth swept aside Jahn Regensburg 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) promised a tight game; Greuther Fürth found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Jahn Regensburg had 55% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 45%, shots finished 18-20, expected goals 2.10 to 2.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Greuther Fürth led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Jahn Regensburg and 2.00 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Jahn Regensburg vs Greuther Fürth?

Jahn Regensburg 0-4 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jahn Regensburg vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Greuther Fürth win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Jahn Regensburg 34%, draw 29%, Greuther Fürth 37%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greuther Fürth) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greuther Fürth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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