Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Hannover 96 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.36
6+ Goals
10%
12.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 29% vs market 22.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.03
1/2
10%
32.0
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
10%
4.91
X/2
9%
6.54
X/X
13%
4.78
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
15%
4.53
2/X
7%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.55/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.53
+6% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 75%
24.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
24.1 Crosses 18.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Hannover 96
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.32 xG 1.41
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
382 Passes 293
79% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-2 HT 0-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
24.09.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 HT 0-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
21.05.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-3 HT 1-2 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
08.11.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-0 HT 2-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
16.04.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
06.11.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fortuna Düsseldorf
1-0
AWAY Hannover 96
2.43 xG 0.56
49% Ball Possession 51%
23 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
354 Passes 391
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hannover 96
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fortuna Düsseldorf edged past Hannover 96 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Fortuna Düsseldorf made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Fortuna Düsseldorf had 49% of the ball to Hannover 96's 51%, shots finished 23-13, expected goals 2.43 to 0.56 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Fortuna Düsseldorf's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hannover 96 led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Fortuna Düsseldorf and 1.50 for Hannover 96.

What was the final score of Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hannover 96?

Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-0 Hannover 96 in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Hannover 96?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fortuna Düsseldorf win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fortuna Düsseldorf 39%, draw 27%, Hannover 96 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fortuna Düsseldorf) ✓ Under 2.5
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