Hannover 96 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Mar 2024

Hannover 96
2-2 HT 0-2
Fortuna Düsseldorf
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
3.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.82
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
26%
3.25
6+ Goals
13%
11.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.25 — our 26% vs market 25.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.37
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
28.5
1/X
10%
12.75
X/1
14%
5.35
X/2
10%
5.96
X/X
9%
4.87
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
18%
3.93
2/X
6%
12.8
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
-0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hannover 96 v Fortuna Düsseldorf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hannover 96 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf EU Bookmakers 37%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
1.48/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.35
-16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
17.3 Crosses 19.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1

Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hannover 96
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.24 xG 1.31
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
261 Passes 399
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
16 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 29
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 HT 0-1 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
21.05.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 3-3 HT 1-2 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
08.11.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 2-0 HT 2-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
16.04.2022 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 0-0 HT 0-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AL2
06.11.2021 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf 1-1 HT 1-0 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 AL2
27.10.2021 Hannover 96 Hannover 96 3-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf Fortuna Düsseldorf AFK

Hannover 96 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hannover 96
2-2
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf
2.25 xG 0.98
65% Ball Possession 35%
22 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
450 Passes 211
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
31 Box Touches 13
31 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hannover 96 and Fortuna Düsseldorf shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Hannover 96 had 65% of the ball to Fortuna Düsseldorf's 35%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.25 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hannover 96 had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Hannover 96 and 0.83 for Fortuna Düsseldorf.

What was the final score of Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Hannover 96 2-2 Fortuna Düsseldorf in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hannover 96 vs Fortuna Düsseldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hannover 96 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hannover 96 40%, draw 25%, Fortuna Düsseldorf 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hannover 96) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hannover 96) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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