Karlsruher SC 4-0 Greuther Fürth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.07
Over 2.5
58%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.03
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
29%
3.1
6+ Goals
12%
10.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.99
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
16%
5.07
X/2
11%
6.67
X/X
9%
5.0
2/1
10%
24.0
2/2
17%
4.42
2/X
6%
12.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.4pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.1pp
42%
Under 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.2pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Karlsruher SC EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Greuther Fürth EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -12%
1.62/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.58
+8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
28.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
24.4 Crosses 16.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Karlsruher SC
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Greuther Fürth
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.59 xG 1.74
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
258 Passes 342
71% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 4-3 HT 3-3 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
10.02.2023 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 2-1 HT 1-1 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
05.08.2022 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-1 HT 0-0 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
08.05.2021 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 2-2 HT 1-2 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
08.01.2021 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC 3-2 HT 2-2 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth AL2
28.06.2020 Greuther Fürth Greuther Fürth 1-2 HT 1-1 Karlsruher SC Karlsruher SC AL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Karlsruher SC
4-0
AWAY Greuther Fürth
2.48 xG 0.57
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 Passes 421
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 15
12 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Karlsruher SC vs Greuther Fürth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karlsruher SC swept aside Greuther Fürth 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Karlsruher SC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Karlsruher SC had 46% of the ball to Greuther Fürth's 54%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 2.48 to 0.57.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Karlsruher SC had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Karlsruher SC and 1.83 for Greuther Fürth.

What was the final score of Karlsruher SC vs Greuther Fürth?

Karlsruher SC 4-0 Greuther Fürth in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Karlsruher SC vs Greuther Fürth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Karlsruher SC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Karlsruher SC 43%, draw 23%, Greuther Fürth 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Karlsruher SC), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Karlsruher SC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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