Nürnberg 2-1 Braunschweig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Mar 2024

Nürnberg
2-1 HT 2-0
Braunschweig
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Nürnberg vs Braunschweig Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.52
2-3 Goals
42%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
3.4
6+ Goals
9%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.52 — our 28% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.99
1/2
6%
27.0
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
11%
5.94
X/2
10%
5.32
X/X
12%
4.69
2/1
8%
29.5
2/2
19%
3.41
2/X
8%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.6pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.2pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Nürnberg v Braunschweig — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nürnberg EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Braunschweig EU Bookmakers 42%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.34/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.95
-3% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 74%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
19.5 Crosses 14.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7

Nürnberg vs Braunschweig Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nürnberg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Braunschweig
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.21 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
370 Passes 248
78% Pass Accuracy 69%
21 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Braunschweig Braunschweig 2-2 HT 1-2 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
10.03.2023 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
02.09.2022 Braunschweig Braunschweig 4-2 HT 2-2 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
28.02.2021 Nürnberg Nürnberg 0-0 HT 0-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2
31.10.2020 Braunschweig Braunschweig 3-2 HT 1-2 Nürnberg Nürnberg AL2
30.04.2018 Nürnberg Nürnberg 2-0 HT 1-0 Braunschweig Braunschweig AL2

Nürnberg 2-1 Braunschweig — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nürnberg
2-1
AWAY Braunschweig
1.71 xG 0.52
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
419 Passes 398
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nürnberg vs Braunschweig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nürnberg squeezed past Braunschweig 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Nürnberg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Nürnberg had 50% of the ball to Braunschweig's 50%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.71 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Nürnberg and 1.50 for Braunschweig.

What was the final score of Nürnberg vs Braunschweig?

Nürnberg 2-1 Braunschweig in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nürnberg vs Braunschweig?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nürnberg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Nürnberg 38%, draw 27%, Braunschweig 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nürnberg), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nürnberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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