Hansa Rostock 0-3 Kaiserslautern — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - 2. Bundesliga, 2 Mar 2024

Hansa Rostock
0-3 HT 0-1
Kaiserslautern
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Germany - 2. Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Hansa Rostock vs Kaiserslautern Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.51
6+ Goals
12%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 26% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
4.06
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
8%
12.95
X/1
11%
5.95
X/2
9%
5.24
X/X
12%
4.6
2/1
8%
30.5
2/2
17%
3.4
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.8pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hansa Rostock v Kaiserslautern — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hansa Rostock EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Kaiserslautern EU Bookmakers 43%
-5% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.39/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.50
-36% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 74%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
23.0 Crosses 23.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6

Hansa Rostock vs Kaiserslautern Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hansa Rostock
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Kaiserslautern
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.72 xG 1.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 7
272 Passes 310
73% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 36
21 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.09.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 3-1 HT 2-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
29.04.2023 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-1 HT 0-1 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL2
21.10.2022 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 0-2 HT 0-0 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL2
06.03.2021 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 2-1 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL3
02.11.2020 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern 0-0 HT 0-0 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock AL3
23.06.2020 Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 1-1 HT 0-1 Kaiserslautern Kaiserslautern AL3

Hansa Rostock 0-3 Kaiserslautern — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hansa Rostock
0-3
AWAY Kaiserslautern
0.26 xG 3.23
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 7
258 Passes 385
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 60
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hansa Rostock vs Kaiserslautern
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kaiserslautern ran out comfortable winners over Hansa Rostock 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Kaiserslautern found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Hansa Rostock had 41% of the ball to Kaiserslautern's 59%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 0.26 to 3.23.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Hansa Rostock and 1.17 for Kaiserslautern.

What was the final score of Hansa Rostock vs Kaiserslautern?

Hansa Rostock 0-3 Kaiserslautern in the Germany - 2. Bundesliga on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hansa Rostock vs Kaiserslautern?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hansa Rostock win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hansa Rostock 37%, draw 27%, Kaiserslautern 35%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hansa Rostock) ✗ BTTS Yes
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