Al Bataeh 3-3 Al Ain — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
5.4
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
56%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.89
Over 2.5
60%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.56
No
47%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.52
2-3 Goals
34%
2.13
4-5 Goals
32%
2.51
6+ Goals
13%
5.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
15%
+5.9pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.1pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-10.8pp
40%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.2pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Bataeh EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ain EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
0.69/1.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/1.02
+30% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +15%
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
244 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 84%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.3
11.1 Crosses 22.5
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Bataeh
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Al Ain
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
1.31 xG 1.83
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
267 Passes 408
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.06.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 0-2 HT 0-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
24.12.2023 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
14.09.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 2-1 HT 2-1 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAELK
30.08.2023 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 0-5 HT 0-2 Al Ain Al Ain BAELK
12.05.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 5-2 HT 3-0 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh BAE
22.01.2023 Al Bataeh Al Bataeh 2-3 HT 0-2 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Bataeh
3-3
AWAY Al Ain
2.09 xG 1.56
34% Ball Possession 66%
14 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 10
254 Passes 538
84% Pass Accuracy 92%
23 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Bataeh vs Al Ain
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Bataeh and Al Ain couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al Ain at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Al Bataeh had 34% of the ball to Al Ain's 66%, shots finished 14-17, expected goals 2.09 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ain led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Bataeh and 3.00 for Al Ain.

What was the final score of Al Bataeh vs Al Ain?

Al Bataeh 3-3 Al Ain in the UAE - League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Bataeh vs Al Ain?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Bataeh 21%, draw 23%, Al Ain 55%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ain) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ain) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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