Ajman 1-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 30 Aug 2024

Ajman
1-2 HT 0-1
Al Ahli FC Dubai
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✓
UAE - League – 2024/2025

Ajman vs Al Ahli FC Dubai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.51
Over 2.5
61%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.3
2-3 Goals
36%
1.98
4-5 Goals
28%
2.69
6+ Goals
14%
6.71
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.6pp
56%
Away Win
62%
-6.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
36%
+3.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
64%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ajman v Al Ahli FC Dubai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajman EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 67%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +1%
1.24/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/0.73
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +3%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
226 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 442 · 85%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
15.5 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Ajman vs Al Ahli FC Dubai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ajman
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.76 xG 1.79
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
256 Passes 383
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
9 Box Touches 29
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.02.2024 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 3-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
18.08.2023 Ajman Ajman 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
13.05.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-0 HT 0-0 Ajman Ajman BAE
23.01.2023 Ajman Ajman 1-3 HT 1-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
11.02.2022 Ajman Ajman 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
25.08.2021 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-0 HT 1-0 Ajman Ajman BAE

Ajman 1-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajman
1-2
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
1.57 xG 1.38
61% Ball Possession 39%
13 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
400 Passes 254
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 20
31 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ajman vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai nicked a narrow win over Ajman 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Ahli FC Dubai as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, Ajman had 61% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 39%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 1.57 to 1.38.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli FC Dubai led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ajman and 2.00 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Ajman vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Ajman 1-2 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajman vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli FC Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Ajman 21%, draw 23%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahli FC Dubai) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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