Dinamo Brest 3-0 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.78
Over 2.5
54%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.04
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.85
6+ Goals
11%
16.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.85 — our 26% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.7pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.3pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+8.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
52%
-6.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
48%
+6.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.6pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dinamo Brest EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 25%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.95/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.67
+18% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dinamo Brest
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 1-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
20.08.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
09.04.2023 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-1 HT 0-1 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
07.05.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 3-1 HT 2-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
18.09.2021 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest 0-3 HT 0-2 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
08.05.2021 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-1 HT 0-0 Dinamo Brest Dinamo Brest BLR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dinamo Brest
3-0
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 12
12 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Dinamo Brest vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dinamo Brest ran out comfortable winners over Slavia Mozyr 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Dinamo Brest as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dinamo Brest had 50% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 50%, shots finished 18-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slavia Mozyr led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Dinamo Brest and 1.50 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of Dinamo Brest vs Slavia Mozyr?

Dinamo Brest 3-0 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dinamo Brest vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dinamo Brest win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dinamo Brest 46%, draw 24%, Slavia Mozyr 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dinamo Brest), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dinamo Brest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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