Gomel vs Smorgon Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gomel v Smorgon — Team-Based Signals
Gomel vs Smorgon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-0
Gomel
BLR
2-0
HT 0-0
Smorgon
BLR
0-0
HT 0-0
Smorgon
BLR
1-2
HT 1-0
Gomel
BLR
1-1
HT 0-1
Smorgon
BLR1
Gomel 2-1 Smorgon — Actual Match Statistics
Gomel edged past Smorgon 2-1.
As we said in the preview, our model had Gomel as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Gomel had 52% of the ball to Smorgon's 48%, shots finished 14-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gomel had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gomel and 0.67 for Smorgon.
What was the final score of Gomel vs Smorgon?
Gomel 2-1 Smorgon in the Belarus - Premier League on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gomel vs Smorgon?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gomel 55%, draw 20%, Smorgon 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gomel), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.