Lyngby 1-0 Vejle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 30 Aug 2024

Lyngby
1-0 HT 1-0
Vejle
📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.69
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
11%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 29% vs market 21.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.22
1/2
8%
29.5
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
13%
5.11
X/2
9%
6.08
X/X
16%
4.95
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
17%
4.11
2/X
10%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-8.0pp
33%
Draw
25%
+7.6pp
33%
Away Win
33%
+0.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lyngby EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Vejle EU Bookmakers 37%
-12% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.26/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.13
-31% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +23%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 75%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
20.6 Crosses 23.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lyngby
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Vejle
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 1.10
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
316 Passes 272
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.05.2024 Vejle Vejle 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
26.04.2024 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 1-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
12.11.2023 Vejle Vejle 1-0 HT 0-0 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
22.09.2023 Lyngby Lyngby 1-1 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
24.05.2021 Vejle Vejle 2-2 HT 1-2 Lyngby Lyngby DAN
20.12.2020 Lyngby Lyngby 0-0 HT 0-0 Vejle Vejle DAN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lyngby
1-0
AWAY Vejle
0.55 xG 1.02
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 5
330 Passes 374
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Lyngby vs Vejle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lyngby nicked a narrow win over Vejle 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Lyngby found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lyngby had 48% of the ball to Vejle's 52%, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 0.55 to 1.02 — on chances, Vejle could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vejle led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lyngby and 1.00 for Vejle.

What was the final score of Lyngby vs Vejle?

Lyngby 1-0 Vejle in the Denmark - Süperlig on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lyngby vs Vejle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lyngby win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Lyngby 34%, draw 33%, Vejle 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyngby), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lyngby) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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