Lyon vs RC Strasbourg Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lyon v RC Strasbourg — Team-Based Signals
Lyon vs RC Strasbourg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Lyon
FR1
1-2
HT 1-2
Lyon
FR1
1-2
HT 1-2
RC Strasbourg
FR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Lyon
FR1
Lyon 4-3 RC Strasbourg — Actual Match Statistics
Lyon squeezed past RC Strasbourg 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Lyon had 48% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 52%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 2.92 to 2.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lyon and 1.17 for RC Strasbourg.
What was the final score of Lyon vs RC Strasbourg?
Lyon 4-3 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lyon vs RC Strasbourg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lyon 43%, draw 30%, RC Strasbourg 27%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.