Lyon vs RC Strasbourg Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lyon v RC Strasbourg — Team-Based Signals
Lyon vs RC Strasbourg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 0-0
Lyon
FR1
1-2
HT 1-2
Lyon
FR1
1-2
HT 1-2
RC Strasbourg
FR1
1-1
HT 1-0
Lyon
FR1
3-1
HT 1-0
RC Strasbourg
FR1
Lyon 2-1 RC Strasbourg — Actual Match Statistics
Lyon nicked a narrow win over RC Strasbourg 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lyon as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Lyon had 63% of the ball to RC Strasbourg's 37%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 2.83 to 1.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lyon's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Lyon and 1.17 for RC Strasbourg.
What was the final score of Lyon vs RC Strasbourg?
Lyon 2-1 RC Strasbourg in the France - Ligue 1 on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lyon vs RC Strasbourg?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lyon win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Lyon 57%, draw 21%, RC Strasbourg 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lyon), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.