Al Arabi 1-0 Al Ahli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
33%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+10.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
33%
Away Win
42%
-9.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Arabi EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli EU Bookmakers 46%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.98/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.11/2.72
-9% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / +61%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 77%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
20.0 Crosses 24.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Arabi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Ahli
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.75 xG 1.96
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 3
393 Passes 247
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
11.11.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 0-6 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Al Ahli KATYK
29.10.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-3 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
13.04.2023 Al Arabi Al Arabi 4-3 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
05.01.2023 Al Ahli Al Ahli 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Arabi Al Arabi KAT
10.02.2022 Al Arabi Al Arabi 2-3 HT 2-2 Al Ahli Al Ahli KAT
POST-MATCH Al Arabi vs Al Ahli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Arabi edged past Al Ahli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Arabi as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahli led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Arabi and 2.83 for Al Ahli.

What was the final score of Al Arabi vs Al Ahli?

Al Arabi 1-0 Al Ahli in the Qatar - Yıldızlar Cup on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Arabi vs Al Ahli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Arabi win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Arabi 44%, draw 23%, Al Ahli 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Arabi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Arabi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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