KFUM Oslo 2-0 Lilleström — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.4
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 27% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.1
1/2
7%
32.0
1/X
6%
13.25
X/1
17%
4.88
X/2
9%
6.32
X/X
12%
4.74
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
13%
4.46
2/X
8%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KFUM Oslo EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.61/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.51
-19% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
345 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.2
26.4 Crosses 20.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KFUM Oslo
0W-0D-5L
AWAY Lilleström
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
0.99 xG 1.13
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
317 Passes 332
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
26 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.06.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 2-1 HT 1-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR
09.03.2024 Lilleström Lilleström 3-1 HT 3-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo HAZ
02.12.2020 Lilleström Lilleström 2-0 HT 1-0 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo NOR1
11.08.2020 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-2 HT 1-1 Lilleström Lilleström NOR1
09.05.2018 KFUM Oslo KFUM Oslo 1-3 HT 0-2 Lilleström Lilleström NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KFUM Oslo
2-0
AWAY Lilleström
1.32 xG 0.56
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 2
401 Passes 334
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH KFUM Oslo vs Lilleström
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFUM Oslo beat Lilleström 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had KFUM Oslo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, KFUM Oslo had 54% of the ball to Lilleström's 46%, shots finished 11-6, expected goals 1.32 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lilleström led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for KFUM Oslo and 2.40 for Lilleström.

What was the final score of KFUM Oslo vs Lilleström?

KFUM Oslo 2-0 Lilleström in the Norway - Eliteserien on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KFUM Oslo vs Lilleström?

Before kick-off our model rated a KFUM Oslo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split KFUM Oslo 45%, draw 27%, Lilleström 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KFUM Oslo) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KFUM Oslo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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