Chrobry Glogow 1-2 Polonia Warszawa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.78
Over 2.5
48%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.03
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.86
6+ Goals
10%
17.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.03 — our 32% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.7pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Polonia Warszawa EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.20/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.37
-9% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrobry Glogow
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.03.2024 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa 1-1 HT 1-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
19.08.2023 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 0-3 HT 0-1 Polonia Warszawa Polonia Warszawa POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrobry Glogow
1-2
AWAY Polonia Warszawa
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chrobry Glogow vs Polonia Warszawa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Polonia Warszawa squeezed past Chrobry Glogow 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Polonia Warszawa found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Chrobry Glogow had 56% of the ball to Polonia Warszawa's 44%, shots finished 10-15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Polonia Warszawa led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chrobry Glogow and 2.00 for Polonia Warszawa.

What was the final score of Chrobry Glogow vs Polonia Warszawa?

Chrobry Glogow 1-2 Polonia Warszawa in the Poland - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrobry Glogow vs Polonia Warszawa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Polonia Warszawa win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Chrobry Glogow 37%, draw 25%, Polonia Warszawa 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Polonia Warszawa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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