Miedz Legnica 1-2 Arka Gdynia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 30 Aug 2024

📅30/08/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.86
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.09
6+ Goals
11%
19.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
35%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.0pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-3.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 40%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.39/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.28
+6% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
245 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Arka Gdynia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-1 HT 0-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
26.09.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-2 HT 0-2 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POLK
17.09.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-1 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
08.05.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-2 HT 0-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
31.10.2021 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
20.03.2021 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-2 HT 1-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
1-2
AWAY Arka Gdynia
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia edged past Miedz Legnica 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and on the day Arka Gdynia made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Miedz Legnica had 60% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 40%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Miedz Legnica and 1.17 for Arka Gdynia.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?

Miedz Legnica 1-2 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - 1st Division on 30/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 38%, draw 29%, Arka Gdynia 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
30 Aug 2024
19:00 Odra Opole vs Lodzki KS Analysis →
21:30 Chrobry Glogow vs Polonia Warszawa Analysis →