Miedz Legnica 0-1 Arka Gdynia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

Miedz Legnica
0-1 HT 0-1
Arka Gdynia
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Poland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.97
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.94
6+ Goals
10%
17.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Miedz Legnica v Arka Gdynia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Arka Gdynia EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +12%
1.14/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.20
-3% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -7%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
293 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 357 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Arka Gdynia
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.09.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 0-2 HT 0-2 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POLK
17.09.2023 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 2-1 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
08.05.2022 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 0-2 HT 0-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
31.10.2021 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-0 HT 0-0 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
20.03.2021 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 1-2 HT 1-1 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia POL1
18.09.2020 Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia 4-0 HT 1-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1

Miedz Legnica 0-1 Arka Gdynia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
0-1
AWAY Arka Gdynia
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Arka Gdynia edged past Miedz Legnica 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Arka Gdynia found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Miedz Legnica had 46% of the ball to Arka Gdynia's 54%, shots finished 9-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Arka Gdynia led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Miedz Legnica and 1.67 for Arka Gdynia.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?

Miedz Legnica 0-1 Arka Gdynia in the Poland - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Arka Gdynia?

Before kick-off our model rated an Arka Gdynia win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 35%, draw 25%, Arka Gdynia 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Arka Gdynia), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Arka Gdynia) ✓ Under 2.5
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