Chrobry Glogow 3-2 Wisla Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 27% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.6pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
46%
Away Win
56%
-10.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrobry Glogow EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 60%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.84/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.37
-16% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -41%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
269 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrobry Glogow
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Wisla Krakow
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
16.09.2023 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 1-1 HT 1-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
01.04.2023 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 4-1 HT 3-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow POL1
26.08.2022 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow 2-1 HT 0-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
20.01.2014 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 2-1 HT 1-1 Chrobry Glogow Chrobry Glogow HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrobry Glogow
3-2
AWAY Wisla Krakow
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chrobry Glogow vs Wisla Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chrobry Glogow nicked a narrow win over Wisla Krakow 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Wisla Krakow at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chrobry Glogow had 45% of the ball to Wisla Krakow's 55%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wisla Krakow led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Chrobry Glogow and 2.00 for Wisla Krakow.

What was the final score of Chrobry Glogow vs Wisla Krakow?

Chrobry Glogow 3-2 Wisla Krakow in the Poland - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrobry Glogow vs Wisla Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chrobry Glogow 26%, draw 28%, Wisla Krakow 46%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5
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